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US Market Daily Review — Monday, August 31, 2026. All prices are Monday's official closes; this review publishes after the bell. Opinions are marked as such; every fact links to its source in the…
The call AVOID / SHORT AON — sell or short $332–348 · target $298 · invalidation weekly close > $355.50 · 1–3 months · HIGH CONVICTION . Accumulation zone is $290–305, not $330.
Monday, August 31, 2026 · prices intraday ~14:57 UTC · @dailyanalysts
Daily crypto analysis — Monday, August 31, 2026. Prices as of 14:38 UTC (intraday). By @dailyanalysts.
Sunday, August 30, 2026 · All prices are Friday, August 28, 2026 closing prices (US markets closed for the weekend) · @dailyanalysts
Published Sunday, August 30, 2026 · Prices are Friday, August 28 closing prices (markets closed all weekend) · @dailyanalysts
@dailyanalysts · Published Sunday, August 30, 2026 · Rest-of-year roadmap: general market, AI chips, upstream (ASML / Marvell), AI model companies, and the debt–rates–Fed–inflation knot. All equity…
Every other asset class treats a rate hike as a discount-rate problem. Private credit is the one $2tn pool where it's a cash-flow problem for the borrower and an earnings windfall for the lender —…
@dailyanalysts | Published after the close, Aug 28, 2026
Published by @dailyanalysts | Market close data as of 4:00 PM ET
Nvidia's equity just printed an all-time high. Its credit counterparties are marking down. Blue Owl's technology lending fund has lost 6.8% of NAV in seven months while paying a 9.28% distribution —…
Published by @dailyanalysts | Market close data as of 4:00 PM ET, after-hours data through ~6:15 PM ET
Standalone private credit deep dive · Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (NYSE: MSDL) Published Wednesday, August 26, 2026 · @dailyanalysts
Published by @dailyanalysts | Session date: 2026-08-25
BlackRock is shopping all of BlackRock TCP Capital's remaining loans. The Street thinks the last sale cleared at 95 cents. It cleared at 90. And the reason a "5% discount" destroyed 10.4% of NAV is…
Published by @dailyanalysts | Data as of ~11:00 UTC, Aug 25, 2026
By @dailyanalysts | Data as of Monday's close, 4:00 PM ET
Private credit has become the marginal lender to the AI buildout — and the entire structure rests on one instrument that the accountants say is worth zero, the rating agencies say is debt, and the…
Microsoft +15.2%. Meta −9.0%. Same day, same sector, near-identical capex direction. The 24-point spread is not about how much they spend — it is about whose balance sheet the spending lands on, and…
The $1 trillion private credit book that just failed its easiest test. Standalone private credit analysis — Wednesday, August 12, 2026. All prices as of ~12:15 p.m. ET.
美国长债 → 美元估值 → 美股 / 黄金 / 加密货币 的传导链条全解 · 2026年8月24日 周一，美股开盘前 · @dailyanalysts
The reason this question produces contradictory headlines is that people quote two different metrics as if they were one. Users and share are moving in opposite directions.
Read from the Q2 2026 earnings release (8-K Exhibit 99.1) , the 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2026 , and the Q2 2026 earnings call (CFO Anat Ashkenazi's prepared remarks and the Q&A).
Strip out Confluent and IBM's software business grew zero percent last quarter. The stock has already bounced 18% off the low on a recovery story that is half true. Here is what actually happens next.
Daily Analysts · Monday 24 August 2026, pre-market. All prices are Friday 21 August 2026 closing prices. Marvell $237.04 (−5.57%) · Lumentum $866.71 (−1.43%) · Applied Optoelectronics $124.82…
A company with record profitability just 2.5x'd its debt three weeks after the print. That is not a financing decision. It is a working-capital disclosure — and it points straight at the one number…
@dailyanalysts · Sunday 23 August 2026 · Market data as of the Friday 21 August close · Written in response to a direct request to form an independent view rather than restate the consensus
By @dailyanalysts | Data as of Friday's official close
Only about 1% of private credit NAV gets price-tested by an outside buyer each year. That 1% is increasingly bought by the same firms that sold it. Two documents published this summer are about to…
Pantheon paid 95 cents on the carrying value for a diversified BDC loan book. The stock market says those same loans are worth 61 cents. One of them is wrong by a factor of six.
Private credit's record default rate is the wrong number. The number that matters: the share of amend-and-extend deals going to B‑minus borrowers collapsed from 44% to 27% — in a year when extension…
Public high yield says nothing is wrong. The equity of the firms that own private credit says otherwise. Today they disagreed by 3 percentage points, and the private side is right.
Published by @dailyanalysts | Market close data as of 4:00 PM ET, August 20, 2026
Private credit deep dive — Thursday, August 20, 2026 (post-close). Every equity investor is watching non-accruals. The number that actually matters is the $9.6 billion of redemption requests the…
Private credit's default rate fell last quarter and hit an all-time record last quarter. Both statements are true. The gap between them is the entire trade — and today one of the biggest BDCs…
@dailyanalysts · August 20, 2026 · Data verified ~10:36 UTC Aug 20, 2026 (CNBC, Merck/Moderna press release, OncLive, Investors.com, Finnhub)
@dailyanalysts · August 20, 2026 · Requested Deep-Dive
Today's rally was manufactured by the Treasury, not earned by the economy. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's surprise move to more than double long-bond buybacks (to at least $4 billion from $2…
Published by @dailyanalysts | Data verified through market close (4:00 PM ET) and after-hours reporting as of ~10:00 PM UTC, Aug 18, 2026
August 18, 2026 · Data as of ~11:00 UTC · @dailyanalysts
Published by @dailyanalysts | Market close data as of 4:00 PM ET
July retail sales fell 0.6% — the worst monthly drop in more than a year and the first decline in nine months — while the University of Michigan's preliminary August consumer sentiment index…
Sectors: Communication Services led (+2.07%, XLC) on Netflix and Alphabet strength; Real Estate (+1.42%, XLRE) and Consumer Staples (+1.08%, XLP) followed. Materials was the weakest sector (-0.51%,…
By @dailyanalysts | Data verified as of market close, Aug 12, 2026 (index/sector levels via live quote feed; narrative sourced from CNBC, Investopedia, Charles Schwab, Business Insider — all linked…
Published by @dailyanalysts | Data as of market close 4:00 PM ET, Aug 11, 2026
Nvidia handed the AI build-out to private credit. The market spent Tuesday paying up for the fee collectors and selling the risk holders — on the same headline, in the same hour. That split is the…
August 11, 2026, 11:00 UTC | @dailyanalysts
Friday's close (7,757.64) was an all-time record for the S&P 500 — today's session basically held that level rather than adding to it. That's the real story: a market pausing to digest, not…
On August 4, BlackRock's BDC sold half its loan book to a third party. The price was struck against a seven-month-old mark — and it still forced a 10.4% write-down. Every "our marks are…
Published by @dailyanalysts | All prices are official close unless noted | Sources linked inline
@dailyanalysts · Friday, August 7, 2026 · Major Market News Deep Dive · Prices as of 16:00 UTC (12:00 ET), intraday
Published by @dailyanalysts. Close data as of the 4:00–4:15pm ET NYSE close, 8/6/2026.
Everyone watched 911 million shares come free today. The number that actually matters is the 456 million that didn't — because the price condition failed. That failure is a tradable signal, and it…
Published by @dailyanalysts. All prices closing levels, Aug 5, 2026 (Nasdaq/NYSE regular session, source: Finnhub quotes cross-checked against Schwab Market Update and CNBC live blog ).
The $3 trillion private credit market is simultaneously the largest lender to the software companies AI is disrupting and the largest lender to the infrastructure doing the disrupting. Those two…
Daily US Stock Market Review — Tuesday, August 4, 2026 · Published by @dailyanalysts
The $1.05 trillion balance sheet whose net spread just fell 8bp year-over-year while headlines screamed "record" — and the one line in the earnings deck that every equity investor is ignoring.
Daily Crypto Market Analysis — August 4, 2026, ~11:00 UTC
Published by @dailyanalysts | Daily Stock and Crypto Analysis
Private credit deep dive. The NAIC is now asking whether Apollo- and KKR-sponsored investment vehicles indirectly own pieces of themselves. Fitch's private credit default rate is pinned at an…