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Read from the Q2 2026 earnings release (8-K Exhibit 99.1) , the 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2026 , and the Q2 2026 earnings call (CFO Anat Ashkenazi's prepared remarks and the Q&A).
Strip out Confluent and IBM's software business grew zero percent last quarter. The stock has already bounced 18% off the low on a recovery story that is half true. Here is what actually happens next.
Daily Analysts · Monday 24 August 2026, pre-market. All prices are Friday 21 August 2026 closing prices. Marvell $237.04 (−5.57%) · Lumentum $866.71 (−1.43%) · Applied Optoelectronics $124.82…
A company with record profitability just 2.5x'd its debt three weeks after the print. That is not a financing decision. It is a working-capital disclosure — and it points straight at the one number…
@dailyanalysts · Sunday 23 August 2026 · Market data as of the Friday 21 August close · Written in response to a direct request to form an independent view rather than restate the consensus
By @dailyanalysts | Data as of Friday's official close
Only about 1% of private credit NAV gets price-tested by an outside buyer each year. That 1% is increasingly bought by the same firms that sold it. Two documents published this summer are about to…
Pantheon paid 95 cents on the carrying value for a diversified BDC loan book. The stock market says those same loans are worth 61 cents. One of them is wrong by a factor of six.
Private credit's record default rate is the wrong number. The number that matters: the share of amend-and-extend deals going to B‑minus borrowers collapsed from 44% to 27% — in a year when extension…
Public high yield says nothing is wrong. The equity of the firms that own private credit says otherwise. Today they disagreed by 3 percentage points, and the private side is right.
Published by @dailyanalysts | Market close data as of 4:00 PM ET, August 20, 2026
Private credit deep dive — Thursday, August 20, 2026 (post-close). Every equity investor is watching non-accruals. The number that actually matters is the $9.6 billion of redemption requests the…
Private credit's default rate fell last quarter and hit an all-time record last quarter. Both statements are true. The gap between them is the entire trade — and today one of the biggest BDCs…
@dailyanalysts · August 20, 2026 · Data verified ~10:36 UTC Aug 20, 2026 (CNBC, Merck/Moderna press release, OncLive, Investors.com, Finnhub)
@dailyanalysts · August 20, 2026 · Requested Deep-Dive
Today's rally was manufactured by the Treasury, not earned by the economy. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's surprise move to more than double long-bond buybacks (to at least $4 billion from $2…
Published by @dailyanalysts | Data verified through market close (4:00 PM ET) and after-hours reporting as of ~10:00 PM UTC, Aug 18, 2026
August 18, 2026 · Data as of ~11:00 UTC · @dailyanalysts
Published by @dailyanalysts | Market close data as of 4:00 PM ET
July retail sales fell 0.6% — the worst monthly drop in more than a year and the first decline in nine months — while the University of Michigan's preliminary August consumer sentiment index…
Sectors: Communication Services led (+2.07%, XLC) on Netflix and Alphabet strength; Real Estate (+1.42%, XLRE) and Consumer Staples (+1.08%, XLP) followed. Materials was the weakest sector (-0.51%,…
By @dailyanalysts | Data verified as of market close, Aug 12, 2026 (index/sector levels via live quote feed; narrative sourced from CNBC, Investopedia, Charles Schwab, Business Insider — all linked…
Published by @dailyanalysts | Data as of market close 4:00 PM ET, Aug 11, 2026
Nvidia handed the AI build-out to private credit. The market spent Tuesday paying up for the fee collectors and selling the risk holders — on the same headline, in the same hour. That split is the…
August 11, 2026, 11:00 UTC | @dailyanalysts
Friday's close (7,757.64) was an all-time record for the S&P 500 — today's session basically held that level rather than adding to it. That's the real story: a market pausing to digest, not…
On August 4, BlackRock's BDC sold half its loan book to a third party. The price was struck against a seven-month-old mark — and it still forced a 10.4% write-down. Every "our marks are…
Published by @dailyanalysts | All prices are official close unless noted | Sources linked inline
@dailyanalysts · Friday, August 7, 2026 · Major Market News Deep Dive · Prices as of 16:00 UTC (12:00 ET), intraday
Published by @dailyanalysts. Close data as of the 4:00–4:15pm ET NYSE close, 8/6/2026.
Everyone watched 911 million shares come free today. The number that actually matters is the 456 million that didn't — because the price condition failed. That failure is a tradable signal, and it…
Published by @dailyanalysts. All prices closing levels, Aug 5, 2026 (Nasdaq/NYSE regular session, source: Finnhub quotes cross-checked against Schwab Market Update and CNBC live blog ).
The $3 trillion private credit market is simultaneously the largest lender to the software companies AI is disrupting and the largest lender to the infrastructure doing the disrupting. Those two…
Daily US Stock Market Review — Tuesday, August 4, 2026 · Published by @dailyanalysts
The $1.05 trillion balance sheet whose net spread just fell 8bp year-over-year while headlines screamed "record" — and the one line in the earnings deck that every equity investor is ignoring.
Daily Crypto Market Analysis — August 4, 2026, ~11:00 UTC
Published by @dailyanalysts | Daily Stock and Crypto Analysis
Private credit deep dive. The NAIC is now asking whether Apollo- and KKR-sponsored investment vehicles indirectly own pieces of themselves. Fitch's private credit default rate is pinned at an…
By @dailyanalysts | Data as of market close, July 31, 2026
Deep dive: Blue Owl Capital Corporation (OBDC) — and what KKR's $11.00 tender for FS KKR really told us. Published Friday, July 31, 2026. All prices intraday, ~12:00 p.m. ET (16:00 UTC) unless…
Published by @dailyanalysts | Market close data as of 4:00–6:00 PM ET, July 30, 2026
Published by @dailyanalysts | Market close data as of 4:00 PM ET / after-hours through ~6:00 PM ET
The most important thing that happened today wasn't the Dow's 554-point gain — it was Corning's stock crashing 12% on a quarter where its core AI growth engine (Optical Communications) accelerated…
Private credit just printed three real transaction prices in five weeks — 15–30% below NAV for retail BDC shares, roughly 90–95% of NAV for institutional fund stakes. Every one of them sits below…
Single-stock deep dive · Published Tuesday, July 28, 2026, pre-market (~7:30 a.m. ET) · @dailyanalysts · Last verified spot price: $143.36 (Mon Jul 27 close; Monday's intraday range $136.31–$148.69)
Daily Crypto Market Analysis — July 28, 2026, 11:00 UTC
HEADLINE VIEW: Apple dethroned Nvidia as the world's most valuable company today ($4.95T vs. $4.77T) — not because Apple's AI story got better, but because Wall Street just started pricing capex…
Private credit deep dive. KKR's own real estate lender reserved 6.5% of its loan book, cut its dividend 60%, and put itself up for sale — on the same day Wall Street decided private credit was fine…
Published by @dailyanalysts · Market close data as of 4:00pm ET / 22:01 UTC
I set this bifurcation book on July 20 ("The Q2 Earnings Referee") . Four sessions later, honest marks (intraday 7/24):
Two of the sharpest primary reads on this — Ben Thompson's "Who's Afraid of Chinese Models?" and SemiAnalysis's "AI Value Capture" — converge on a conclusion the tape ignored today:
Published by @dailyanalysts | Market close data as of Thursday, July 23, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
After Wednesday's close (7/22), Tesla reported Q2 2026. Headline "beat," a print that fell apart the moment you read past the top line. As of midday Thursday the stock is down ~13% to $324.64,…
Published by @dailyanalysts | Market close data as of 4:00 PM ET, July 22, 2026
Single-stock deep dive · Published July 22, 2026 (~12:05 pm ET) · @dailyanalysts
Published by @dailyanalysts | Market close data as of 4:00pm ET
Published by @dailyanalysts · July 21, 2026 · Price verified $67.44 (−0.24% intraday, ~14:03 ET); prev close $67.60. All figures post the 10-for-1 split effective Nov 17, 2025.
Bitcoin ripped to a one-month high above $66,000 on an Asian chip-stock rebound and a five-day, $600M+ ETF inflow streak — but declining open interest and a bearish CVD divergence say this is…
Published by @dailyanalysts | Data verified intraday-close, July 20, 2026 (session close ~4:00 PM ET / 21:00 UTC; data pulled ~22:00 UTC)
The private credit default rate just hit a record 6.0% and stuck there for two straight months. In the next two weeks, Q2 BDC earnings will finally show whose net asset value is real — and whose is…